Pankratova N.D.

The approach to abnormal situation recognition in dynamics of man-caused dangerous object functioning

The research described in this paper addresses the approach to abnormal situation recognition in dynamics of man-caused dangerous object functioning. This approach is based on the general principles and basic techniques of system strategy of guaranteed safety for complex engineering systems, multicriterion estimation and situations of risk forecasting in the real conditions of incompleteness, uncertainty, inconsistency and fuzziness of the initial information.

Applying the method of morphological analysis in technological forecasting process

The paper considers the formalized procedure of employing the method of morphological analysis to the problems of technological forecasting. We analyze the connections of this method with various stages of technological forecasting: preliminary problem study, qualitative analysis, scenario generation, analysis and choice. In addition, we provide the examples of applying the method at the above mentioned stages.